With a little effort I can work myself up into a fury of indignation about most things, but strangely enough not about climate change. The whole subject bores me because I can’t really make the whole of the planet the object of my affection or concern. I wish it no harm, of course, but I cannot say that I love it, any more than I love the oxygen and nitrogen in the air. I don’t want the jungles to be cut down or the glaciers to melt, but that is mainly for aesthetic reasons, and I wouldn’t want it even if the other effects were wholly beneficial to Mankind.
I am perfectly prepared to believe that there has been global warming and even that Mankind’s activities have played some part in bringing it about, just as I can easily believe that certain people will use global warming as a means of making a fortune for themselves. Certainly I dislike polluted air, but I am not sure that all the effects of global warming will be bad. In the 13th century, for example, when the world climate was much warmer than it is now, there were vineyards in the far north of England, a precedent that must give some hope of gainful employment to the chronically unemployed there. Not long ago I read a paper in a medical journal in which the effect on mortality of excess hot and cold weather was estimated for the world population. Excess of cold was responsible for (or, more accurately, statistically associated with) between 17 and 18 times more deaths than excess of heat. This is not the same as saying that a general and constant increase in global temperature will be beneficial for Mankind’s health, but it does at least raise the possibility that it will be. Oddly enough, the paper—in whose findings I would not place enormous faith, for they depended upon an immense amount of statistical manipulation that I could not understand—was not widely reported, though I expected it to produce a veritable storm of commentary. But sometimes silence, not honesty, is the best policy. Full story...
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I am perfectly prepared to believe that there has been global warming and even that Mankind’s activities have played some part in bringing it about, just as I can easily believe that certain people will use global warming as a means of making a fortune for themselves. Certainly I dislike polluted air, but I am not sure that all the effects of global warming will be bad. In the 13th century, for example, when the world climate was much warmer than it is now, there were vineyards in the far north of England, a precedent that must give some hope of gainful employment to the chronically unemployed there. Not long ago I read a paper in a medical journal in which the effect on mortality of excess hot and cold weather was estimated for the world population. Excess of cold was responsible for (or, more accurately, statistically associated with) between 17 and 18 times more deaths than excess of heat. This is not the same as saying that a general and constant increase in global temperature will be beneficial for Mankind’s health, but it does at least raise the possibility that it will be. Oddly enough, the paper—in whose findings I would not place enormous faith, for they depended upon an immense amount of statistical manipulation that I could not understand—was not widely reported, though I expected it to produce a veritable storm of commentary. But sometimes silence, not honesty, is the best policy. Full story...
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